S8/10Geopolitical
New power outages reported across Ukraine after Russian attack, Sumy worst affected
Russia's 2 July missile and drone attack caused new power outages in Sumy, Kyiv, Donetsk, Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia oblasts, with Sumy the worst affected.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 67% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days