S7/10Economic
Gold edges higher as investors weigh US-Iran ceasefire deal reports, Fed rate outlook
Gold prices edged higher as investors weighed a potential U.S.-Iran ceasefire deal against persistent inflation concerns and the prospect of prolonged U.S. interest rate hikes. Despite earlier dips, gold futures saw a modest increase, reflecting ongoing market uncertainty. Other precious metals also experienced gains.
29 May 2026, 01:53 UTCSource: Economic Times
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation— 44% model probability
Confirmation indicators
- ◆Escalating rhetoric from both sides regarding the potential deal's failure. A surge in global military spending announcements.
- ◆Time Horizon: 10 days to two weeks
Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Status quo— 41% model probability
Confirmation indicators
- ◆Escalating rhetoric from both sides regarding the potential deal's failure. A surge in global military spending announcements.
- ◆Time Horizon: 10 days to two weeks
Horizon: 7–30 days
C
De-escalation— 15% model probability
Confirmation indicators
- ◆Escalating rhetoric from both sides regarding the potential deal's failure. A surge in global military spending announcements.
- ◆Time Horizon: 10 days to two weeks
Horizon: 7–30 days