S9/10Geopolitical
Russia attacks Ukraine with two missiles and 86 drones, strikes and debris falls recorded at over 20 locations
Ukrainian air defences intercepted 69 Russian drones overnight, but missile and drone strikes were recorded at multiple locations across the country.
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 79% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days