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S7/10Economic

Treasuries Drop as Jobs Data, Iran Tensions Fuel Rate Hike Bets

Treasuries fell as investors ramped up bets that the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates, while escalating tensions in the Middle East added to inflation concerns.

Source: Bloomberg MarketsOriginal source

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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Horizon: 21–42 days
B
Status quo
Horizon: 21–42 days
C
De-escalation
Horizon: 21–42 days

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