Почему президент Китая Си Цзиньпин сейчас посещает Северную Корею?

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Xi Jinping's visit to North Korea triggers heightened military cooperation between China and North Korea. China begins supplying advanced weapons systems to North Korea, including ballistic missiles and drone technology. The US condemns these actions as a violation of UN resolutions and imposes sanctions on both countries. This leads to increased tensions in the region, potentially escalating into direct conflict if diplomatic efforts fail. * China publicly announces the delivery of advanced military equipment to North Korea. * North Korean state media reports on joint military exercises with China. * The US Congress votes to impose sanctions on both China and North Korea. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** Xi Jinping's visit is primarily a diplomatic gesture, focusing on

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Xi Jinping's visit to North Korea triggers heightened military cooperation between China and North Korea. China begins supplying advanced weapons systems to North Korea, including ballistic missiles and drone technology. The US condemns these actions as a violation of UN resolutions and imposes sanctions on both countries. This leads to increased tensions in the region, potentially escalating into direct conflict if diplomatic efforts fail. * China publicly announces the delivery of advanced military equipment to North Korea. * North Korean state media reports on joint military exercises with China. * The US Congress votes to impose sanctions on both China and North Korea. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** Xi Jinping's visit is primarily a diplomatic gesture, focusing on

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Xi Jinping's visit to North Korea triggers heightened military cooperation between China and North Korea. China begins supplying advanced weapons systems to North Korea, including ballistic missiles and drone technology. The US condemns these actions as a violation of UN resolutions and imposes sanctions on both countries. This leads to increased tensions in the region, potentially escalating into direct conflict if diplomatic efforts fail. * China publicly announces the delivery of advanced military equipment to North Korea. * North Korean state media reports on joint military exercises with China. * The US Congress votes to impose sanctions on both China and North Korea. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** Xi Jinping's visit is primarily a diplomatic gesture, focusing on