Киевские войска за сутки обстреляли ДНР 10 раз — прогноз цепочек

A

Escalation

50%

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Kiev shelling intensifies, with increased frequency and targeting of DPR infrastructure. Russia deploys additional military support to Ukraine, including air strikes on DPR positions. Tensions escalate between Russia and NATO, leading to diplomatic deadlock and a potential escalation in the conflict. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The shelling continues in a pattern of intermittent attacks, primarily targeting DPR infrastructure with limited impact on civilian areas. Both Ukraine and Russia engage in diplomatic efforts to de-escalate the situation, focusing on huma

Индикаторы подтверждения: ** Increased reports of Ukrainian artillery strikes on DPR targets, Russian military movements near the border with Ukraine, and statements from both sides indicating increased readiness for further escalation.

B

Status Quo

38%

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Kiev shelling intensifies, with increased frequency and targeting of DPR infrastructure. Russia deploys additional military support to Ukraine, including air strikes on DPR positions. Tensions escalate between Russia and NATO, leading to diplomatic deadlock and a potential escalation in the conflict. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The shelling continues in a pattern of intermittent attacks, primarily targeting DPR infrastructure with limited impact on civilian areas. Both Ukraine and Russia engage in diplomatic efforts to de-escalate the situation, focusing on huma

Индикаторы подтверждения: ** Increased reports of Ukrainian artillery strikes on DPR targets, Russian military movements near the border with Ukraine, and statements from both sides indicating increased readiness for further escalation.

C

De-escalation

13%

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Kiev shelling intensifies, with increased frequency and targeting of DPR infrastructure. Russia deploys additional military support to Ukraine, including air strikes on DPR positions. Tensions escalate between Russia and NATO, leading to diplomatic deadlock and a potential escalation in the conflict. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The shelling continues in a pattern of intermittent attacks, primarily targeting DPR infrastructure with limited impact on civilian areas. Both Ukraine and Russia engage in diplomatic efforts to de-escalate the situation, focusing on huma

Индикаторы подтверждения: ** Increased reports of Ukrainian artillery strikes on DPR targets, Russian military movements near the border with Ukraine, and statements from both sides indicating increased readiness for further escalation.

Сценарии цепочки

Escalation

Status Quo

De-escalation