ЦАХАЛ зафиксировал два запуска ракет из Ирана за 15 минут

## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** Israel will likely retaliate with airstrikes targeting Iranian military infrastructure in Syria, potentially escalating into a broader regional conflict involving Hezbollah and other proxy groups. This could trigger a rapid escalation in tensions between Israel and Iran, with potential involvement from regional powers like Russia or Saudi Arabia. Confirmation indicators include: * **Within 48 hours:** Increased activity of Israeli air forces over Syrian airspace, followed by reports of retaliatory strikes on Iranian targets. * **Within 72 hours:** Confirmed reports of Iranian military infrastructure being targeted in Syria and a subsequent escalation in rhetoric from both sides. **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** The situation will likely remain tense but stable, with limited direct action between Israel and Iran. Israel will co

## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** Israel will likely retaliate with airstrikes targeting Iranian military infrastructure in Syria, potentially escalating into a broader regional conflict involving Hezbollah and other proxy groups. This could trigger a rapid escalation in tensions between Israel and Iran, with potential involvement from regional powers like Russia or Saudi Arabia. Confirmation indicators include: * **Within 48 hours:** Increased activity of Israeli air forces over Syrian airspace, followed by reports of retaliatory strikes on Iranian targets. * **Within 72 hours:** Confirmed reports of Iranian military infrastructure being targeted in Syria and a subsequent escalation in rhetoric from both sides. **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** The situation will likely remain tense but stable, with limited direct action between Israel and Iran. Israel will co

## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** Israel will likely retaliate with airstrikes targeting Iranian military infrastructure in Syria, potentially escalating into a broader regional conflict involving Hezbollah and other proxy groups. This could trigger a rapid escalation in tensions between Israel and Iran, with potential involvement from regional powers like Russia or Saudi Arabia. Confirmation indicators include: * **Within 48 hours:** Increased activity of Israeli air forces over Syrian airspace, followed by reports of retaliatory strikes on Iranian targets. * **Within 72 hours:** Confirmed reports of Iranian military infrastructure being targeted in Syria and a subsequent escalation in rhetoric from both sides. **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** The situation will likely remain tense but stable, with limited direct action between Israel and Iran. Israel will co