Британские работодатели нанимают больше временных сотрудников из-за роста расходов на персонал

## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation) — 50%** * **Chain:** Economic uncertainty leads to increased hiring of temporary workers as companies delay permanent hires. This fuels competition for skilled labor, leading to wage increases and potentially a rise in employee dissatisfaction. The UK government may respond with policies encouraging long-term employment opportunities, further impacting the balance between temp and perm staff. * **Confirmation indicators:** Significant increase in temporary worker contracts (e.g., exceeding 10% year-on-year growth) and media reports highlighting rising labor costs for permanent workers. * **Time horizon:** 60 days to 2 months **Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38%** * **Chain:** Companies continue to employ a mix of temporary and permanent staff, adapting their hiring strategies based on the economic outlook. The UK government maintains its

## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation) — 50%** * **Chain:** Economic uncertainty leads to increased hiring of temporary workers as companies delay permanent hires. This fuels competition for skilled labor, leading to wage increases and potentially a rise in employee dissatisfaction. The UK government may respond with policies encouraging long-term employment opportunities, further impacting the balance between temp and perm staff. * **Confirmation indicators:** Significant increase in temporary worker contracts (e.g., exceeding 10% year-on-year growth) and media reports highlighting rising labor costs for permanent workers. * **Time horizon:** 60 days to 2 months **Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38%** * **Chain:** Companies continue to employ a mix of temporary and permanent staff, adapting their hiring strategies based on the economic outlook. The UK government maintains its

## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation) — 50%** * **Chain:** Economic uncertainty leads to increased hiring of temporary workers as companies delay permanent hires. This fuels competition for skilled labor, leading to wage increases and potentially a rise in employee dissatisfaction. The UK government may respond with policies encouraging long-term employment opportunities, further impacting the balance between temp and perm staff. * **Confirmation indicators:** Significant increase in temporary worker contracts (e.g., exceeding 10% year-on-year growth) and media reports highlighting rising labor costs for permanent workers. * **Time horizon:** 60 days to 2 months **Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38%** * **Chain:** Companies continue to employ a mix of temporary and permanent staff, adapting their hiring strategies based on the economic outlook. The UK government maintains its