Косово: бывший президент предупреждает о цене политического тупика

## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** Following Gezim Selimi's warning about political deadlock and potential escalation, tensions could rise in Kosovo within **7 days**. A surge in nationalist rhetoric from both sides, coupled with a lack of progress on key issues like the status of Serbian minority communities, could lead to increased public unrest. This could manifest as protests, demonstrations, or even localized violence. * Increased reports of threats and intimidation by political parties against opposing groups. * A spike in social media activity related to nationalist rhetoric and calls for action. * A rise in security concerns reported by local authorities. --- **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** The political deadlock remains, with no significant progress made on resolving key issues. Th

## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** Following Gezim Selimi's warning about political deadlock and potential escalation, tensions could rise in Kosovo within **7 days**. A surge in nationalist rhetoric from both sides, coupled with a lack of progress on key issues like the status of Serbian minority communities, could lead to increased public unrest. This could manifest as protests, demonstrations, or even localized violence. * Increased reports of threats and intimidation by political parties against opposing groups. * A spike in social media activity related to nationalist rhetoric and calls for action. * A rise in security concerns reported by local authorities. --- **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** The political deadlock remains, with no significant progress made on resolving key issues. Th

## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** Following Gezim Selimi's warning about political deadlock and potential escalation, tensions could rise in Kosovo within **7 days**. A surge in nationalist rhetoric from both sides, coupled with a lack of progress on key issues like the status of Serbian minority communities, could lead to increased public unrest. This could manifest as protests, demonstrations, or even localized violence. * Increased reports of threats and intimidation by political parties against opposing groups. * A spike in social media activity related to nationalist rhetoric and calls for action. * A rise in security concerns reported by local authorities. --- **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** The political deadlock remains, with no significant progress made on resolving key issues. Th