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natural_disaster··severity 7

Как хозяева готовятся к вспышке Эболы во время ЧМ-2026

США, Мексика и Канада объявили об ограничениях на поездки из-за Эболы перед началом чемпионата мира по футболу.

Сценарии цепочки

A

Escalation

50%

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Ebola-related travel restrictions trigger increased concern and anxiety among fans traveling to host nations. This leads to disruptions in transportation networks, with flight cancellations and delays becoming more frequent. Governments and public health agencies struggle to contain the spread of misinformation and fear-mongering, potentially escalating tensions between countries and impacting World Cup attendance. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Baseline scenario:** The World Cup proceeds as planned, with minimal impact on travel or public healt

Индикаторы подтверждения: ** Increased media coverage focusing on Ebola outbreaks and travel advisories issued by international organizations within a week of restrictions. A significant spike in searches for "ebola symptoms" online within the following two weeks.
B

Status Quo

38%

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Ebola-related travel restrictions trigger increased concern and anxiety among fans traveling to host nations. This leads to disruptions in transportation networks, with flight cancellations and delays becoming more frequent. Governments and public health agencies struggle to contain the spread of misinformation and fear-mongering, potentially escalating tensions between countries and impacting World Cup attendance. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Baseline scenario:** The World Cup proceeds as planned, with minimal impact on travel or public healt

Индикаторы подтверждения: ** Increased media coverage focusing on Ebola outbreaks and travel advisories issued by international organizations within a week of restrictions. A significant spike in searches for "ebola symptoms" online within the following two weeks.
C

De-escalation

13%

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Ebola-related travel restrictions trigger increased concern and anxiety among fans traveling to host nations. This leads to disruptions in transportation networks, with flight cancellations and delays becoming more frequent. Governments and public health agencies struggle to contain the spread of misinformation and fear-mongering, potentially escalating tensions between countries and impacting World Cup attendance. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Baseline scenario:** The World Cup proceeds as planned, with minimal impact on travel or public healt

Индикаторы подтверждения: ** Increased media coverage focusing on Ebola outbreaks and travel advisories issued by international organizations within a week of restrictions. A significant spike in searches for "ebola symptoms" online within the following two weeks.

Первичный источник: Al Jazeera

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