Спад занятости в Великобритании усугубляется, поскольку проблемы Стармера усугубляют препятствия, сообщает REC
Согласно опросу, проведенному Банком Англии, британские работодатели в мае сократили прием на работу ускоренными темпами на фоне продолжающейся войны на Ближнем Востоке и политических потрясений внутри страны.
Сценарии цепочки
Escalation
## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** UK political turmoil intensifies as Starmer's leadership faces growing scrutiny and potential challenge from within his own party. This leads to market uncertainty, impacting investor confidence and potentially triggering a sell-off in key sectors like financial services and technology. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Baseline:** The UK economy continues to face headwinds from global economic slowdown and geopolitical uncertainty. Hiring remains subdued, but the Bank of England maintains a cautious stance on interest rate hikes.
Status Quo
## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** UK political turmoil intensifies as Starmer's leadership faces growing scrutiny and potential challenge from within his own party. This leads to market uncertainty, impacting investor confidence and potentially triggering a sell-off in key sectors like financial services and technology. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Baseline:** The UK economy continues to face headwinds from global economic slowdown and geopolitical uncertainty. Hiring remains subdued, but the Bank of England maintains a cautious stance on interest rate hikes.
De-escalation
## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** UK political turmoil intensifies as Starmer's leadership faces growing scrutiny and potential challenge from within his own party. This leads to market uncertainty, impacting investor confidence and potentially triggering a sell-off in key sectors like financial services and technology. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Baseline:** The UK economy continues to face headwinds from global economic slowdown and geopolitical uncertainty. Hiring remains subdued, but the Bank of England maintains a cautious stance on interest rate hikes.
Первичный источник: Bloomberg Markets
Хотите получать такие сценарии в email или Telegram до публикации в каталоге?
Тарифы и подписки →