মোদি সরকারের পতনের শঙ্কা তৈরি করছে আলোচিত তেলাপোকা পার্টি

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** The "Teliapoka Party" publicly criticizes the government's handling of economic issues. Tensions escalate as political parties call for a parliamentary inquiry into the PM's alleged corruption, leading to a series of protests demanding the PM's resignation. This triggers a potential constitutional crisis and an increase in political instability. * The "Teliapoka Party" releases a public statement outlining their demands for the PM's resignation. * Protests escalate into violent clashes between protesters and security forces, leading to injuries and property damage. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Baseline:** The "Teliapoka Party" remains a vocal opposition party, but refrains from publicly criticizing the government's handling of economic issues, opting for strategic politic

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** The "Teliapoka Party" publicly criticizes the government's handling of economic issues. Tensions escalate as political parties call for a parliamentary inquiry into the PM's alleged corruption, leading to a series of protests demanding the PM's resignation. This triggers a potential constitutional crisis and an increase in political instability. * The "Teliapoka Party" releases a public statement outlining their demands for the PM's resignation. * Protests escalate into violent clashes between protesters and security forces, leading to injuries and property damage. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Baseline:** The "Teliapoka Party" remains a vocal opposition party, but refrains from publicly criticizing the government's handling of economic issues, opting for strategic politic

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** The "Teliapoka Party" publicly criticizes the government's handling of economic issues. Tensions escalate as political parties call for a parliamentary inquiry into the PM's alleged corruption, leading to a series of protests demanding the PM's resignation. This triggers a potential constitutional crisis and an increase in political instability. * The "Teliapoka Party" releases a public statement outlining their demands for the PM's resignation. * Protests escalate into violent clashes between protesters and security forces, leading to injuries and property damage. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Baseline:** The "Teliapoka Party" remains a vocal opposition party, but refrains from publicly criticizing the government's handling of economic issues, opting for strategic politic