«Какое прекращение огня?» Палестинцы осматривают разрушения после израильского удара

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Israeli strike on Palestinian infrastructure leads to retaliatory rocket fire from Hamas into Israel. Tensions escalate with increased military deployments and border closures. This triggers a series of diplomatic efforts, including calls for de-escalation by international bodies like the UN, but ultimately fail to prevent further escalation. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The initial Israeli strike sparks public outrage among Palestinians, but does not trigger a wider conflict. Negotiations between Israel and Palestine continue with limited progress. Both sides remain committed to maintai

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Israeli strike on Palestinian infrastructure leads to retaliatory rocket fire from Hamas into Israel. Tensions escalate with increased military deployments and border closures. This triggers a series of diplomatic efforts, including calls for de-escalation by international bodies like the UN, but ultimately fail to prevent further escalation. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The initial Israeli strike sparks public outrage among Palestinians, but does not trigger a wider conflict. Negotiations between Israel and Palestine continue with limited progress. Both sides remain committed to maintai

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Israeli strike on Palestinian infrastructure leads to retaliatory rocket fire from Hamas into Israel. Tensions escalate with increased military deployments and border closures. This triggers a series of diplomatic efforts, including calls for de-escalation by international bodies like the UN, but ultimately fail to prevent further escalation. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The initial Israeli strike sparks public outrage among Palestinians, but does not trigger a wider conflict. Negotiations between Israel and Palestine continue with limited progress. Both sides remain committed to maintai