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geopolitical··severity 6

Вирусная петиция с требованием выдворить рохинджа из Малайзии вызвала предупреждение о разжигании ненависти

Правозащитные группы Малайзии предупредили о росте враждебности по отношению к беженцам рохинджа после того, как петиция, широко распространенная в социальных сетях с призывом к «выдворению» общины из страны, собрала почти полмиллиона подписей. Петиция, запущенная на сайте Change.org в конце прошлого месяца аккаунтом под ником «Aku Anak Malaysia», призывает правительство Малайзии рассмотреть возможность переселения рохинджа в другую страну или предоставления «расширенной поддержки в их родных регионах» в Мьянме. Это...

Сценарии цепочки

A

Escalation

50%

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** A petition's virality leads to increased public discourse and hate speech targeting Rohingya communities. This fuels further online mobilization, including calls for boycotts of businesses owned by Rohingya individuals or organizations. The government faces pressure from both within the country and international bodies, leading to a rise in rhetoric about potential security threats posed by Rohingya refugees. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The petition's impact is limited to a temporary rise in social medi

Индикаторы подтверждения: ** A surge in hate speech content on Malaysian social media platforms, specifically targeting Rohingya communities, with an increase in online harassment incidents reported. A public rally organized by nationalist groups demanding stricter measures against Rohingya.
B

Status Quo

38%

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** A petition's virality leads to increased public discourse and hate speech targeting Rohingya communities. This fuels further online mobilization, including calls for boycotts of businesses owned by Rohingya individuals or organizations. The government faces pressure from both within the country and international bodies, leading to a rise in rhetoric about potential security threats posed by Rohingya refugees. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The petition's impact is limited to a temporary rise in social medi

Индикаторы подтверждения: ** A surge in hate speech content on Malaysian social media platforms, specifically targeting Rohingya communities, with an increase in online harassment incidents reported. A public rally organized by nationalist groups demanding stricter measures against Rohingya.
C

De-escalation

13%

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** A petition's virality leads to increased public discourse and hate speech targeting Rohingya communities. This fuels further online mobilization, including calls for boycotts of businesses owned by Rohingya individuals or organizations. The government faces pressure from both within the country and international bodies, leading to a rise in rhetoric about potential security threats posed by Rohingya refugees. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The petition's impact is limited to a temporary rise in social medi

Индикаторы подтверждения: ** A surge in hate speech content on Malaysian social media platforms, specifically targeting Rohingya communities, with an increase in online harassment incidents reported. A public rally organized by nationalist groups demanding stricter measures against Rohingya.

Первичный источник: South China Morning Post

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