Число погибших в результате атак Израиля на Ливан превысило 3630 человек — Минздрав

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Israel escalates military action in Lebanon, targeting Hezbollah infrastructure and leadership. This leads to retaliatory attacks from Hezbollah against Israeli targets within Lebanon. Increased tensions escalate into a broader regional conflict involving Syria and potentially Iran. * **Israel's deployment of advanced weaponry**: Significant increase in the use of precision-guided missiles or drones. * **Hezbollah launches significant attack on Israel**: Targeting civilian infrastructure or military installations within Israel, including border crossings or airfields. * **Escalation by regional powers**: Syria and Iran publicly endorse Hezbollah's actions or express support for increased military action against Israel. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The situation r

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Israel escalates military action in Lebanon, targeting Hezbollah infrastructure and leadership. This leads to retaliatory attacks from Hezbollah against Israeli targets within Lebanon. Increased tensions escalate into a broader regional conflict involving Syria and potentially Iran. * **Israel's deployment of advanced weaponry**: Significant increase in the use of precision-guided missiles or drones. * **Hezbollah launches significant attack on Israel**: Targeting civilian infrastructure or military installations within Israel, including border crossings or airfields. * **Escalation by regional powers**: Syria and Iran publicly endorse Hezbollah's actions or express support for increased military action against Israel. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The situation r

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Israel escalates military action in Lebanon, targeting Hezbollah infrastructure and leadership. This leads to retaliatory attacks from Hezbollah against Israeli targets within Lebanon. Increased tensions escalate into a broader regional conflict involving Syria and potentially Iran. * **Israel's deployment of advanced weaponry**: Significant increase in the use of precision-guided missiles or drones. * **Hezbollah launches significant attack on Israel**: Targeting civilian infrastructure or military installations within Israel, including border crossings or airfields. * **Escalation by regional powers**: Syria and Iran publicly endorse Hezbollah's actions or express support for increased military action against Israel. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The situation r