Миллиардер Драи заключил сделку на 20 миллиардов евро по продаже французского SFR

## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** * **Chain:** Drahi's deal triggers regulatory scrutiny over potential market dominance and consolidation within the French telecom sector. This leads to increased pressure from antitrust authorities, potentially resulting in a lengthy legal battle. The outcome could involve concessions from Drahi or adjustments to the deal structure. * **Confirmation Indicators:** 1) Regulatory filings detailing concerns regarding market concentration; 2) Public statements by regulatory bodies expressing concerns about the deal's impact on competition. * **Time Horizon:** 30-60 days **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** * **Chain:** The deal proceeds smoothly, with minimal regulatory hurdles and a swift approval process. This leads to increased investor confidence in the French telecom sector and potential for further consolidation within the industr

## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** * **Chain:** Drahi's deal triggers regulatory scrutiny over potential market dominance and consolidation within the French telecom sector. This leads to increased pressure from antitrust authorities, potentially resulting in a lengthy legal battle. The outcome could involve concessions from Drahi or adjustments to the deal structure. * **Confirmation Indicators:** 1) Regulatory filings detailing concerns regarding market concentration; 2) Public statements by regulatory bodies expressing concerns about the deal's impact on competition. * **Time Horizon:** 30-60 days **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** * **Chain:** The deal proceeds smoothly, with minimal regulatory hurdles and a swift approval process. This leads to increased investor confidence in the French telecom sector and potential for further consolidation within the industr

## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** * **Chain:** Drahi's deal triggers regulatory scrutiny over potential market dominance and consolidation within the French telecom sector. This leads to increased pressure from antitrust authorities, potentially resulting in a lengthy legal battle. The outcome could involve concessions from Drahi or adjustments to the deal structure. * **Confirmation Indicators:** 1) Regulatory filings detailing concerns regarding market concentration; 2) Public statements by regulatory bodies expressing concerns about the deal's impact on competition. * **Time Horizon:** 30-60 days **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** * **Chain:** The deal proceeds smoothly, with minimal regulatory hurdles and a swift approval process. This leads to increased investor confidence in the French telecom sector and potential for further consolidation within the industr