Йеменская ракета возле границы с Саудовской Аравией была нацелена на другую страну — Минобороны

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Saudi Arabia increases military presence near Yemen's border due to heightened tension following the missile incident. Yemeni rebels may retaliate with increased attacks on Saudi Arabian infrastructure, escalating tensions further. The UN Security Council holds an emergency meeting, potentially leading to a formal condemnation of the attack and renewed calls for de-escalation. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The missile incident is addressed through diplomatic channels, primarily focusing on technica

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Saudi Arabia increases military presence near Yemen's border due to heightened tension following the missile incident. Yemeni rebels may retaliate with increased attacks on Saudi Arabian infrastructure, escalating tensions further. The UN Security Council holds an emergency meeting, potentially leading to a formal condemnation of the attack and renewed calls for de-escalation. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The missile incident is addressed through diplomatic channels, primarily focusing on technica

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Saudi Arabia increases military presence near Yemen's border due to heightened tension following the missile incident. Yemeni rebels may retaliate with increased attacks on Saudi Arabian infrastructure, escalating tensions further. The UN Security Council holds an emergency meeting, potentially leading to a formal condemnation of the attack and renewed calls for de-escalation. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The missile incident is addressed through diplomatic channels, primarily focusing on technica