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geopolitical··severity 8

Флоты кальмаров разоблачены: расследование выявило незаконный промысел и принудительный труд

8 июня отмечается Всемирный день океанов — глобальное мероприятие, проводимое каждый год с целью повышения осведомленности о влиянии деятельности человека на океан. Незаконный рыбный промысел является одним из них, угрожая целым морским экосистемам. Расследование, опубликованное некоммерческой организацией «Фонд экологической справедливости», выявило широкомасштабное разрушение окружающей среды и нарушения прав человека в мировой индустрии производства кальмаров. Наш редактор по окружающей среде Валери Декимпе рассказывает нам больше.

Сценарии цепочки

A

Escalation

50%

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** The investigation's findings are leaked to international media outlets and trigger condemnation from various countries, including those with strong environmental regulations. This leads to increased scrutiny on global squid fishing practices and potential sanctions against major players in the industry. The Environmental Justice Foundation launches a legal challenge against several companies, demanding accountability for human rights violations and environmental damage. * Global media coverage of the investigation's findings with significant attention from international news outlets. * Public statements by prominent figures condemning illegal fishing practices and human rights abuses in the industry. * Legal filings by the Environmental Justice Foundation against major squid fishing companies.

Индикаторы подтверждения: **, * Global media coverage of the investigation's findings with significant attention from international news outlets., * Public statements by prominent figures condemning illegal fishing practices and human rights abuses in the industry., * Legal filings by the Environmental Justice Foundation against major squid fishing companies.
B

Status Quo

38%

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** The investigation's findings are leaked to international media outlets and trigger condemnation from various countries, including those with strong environmental regulations. This leads to increased scrutiny on global squid fishing practices and potential sanctions against major players in the industry. The Environmental Justice Foundation launches a legal challenge against several companies, demanding accountability for human rights violations and environmental damage. * Global media coverage of the investigation's findings with significant attention from international news outlets. * Public statements by prominent figures condemning illegal fishing practices and human rights abuses in the industry. * Legal filings by the Environmental Justice Foundation against major squid fishing companies.

Индикаторы подтверждения: **, * Global media coverage of the investigation's findings with significant attention from international news outlets., * Public statements by prominent figures condemning illegal fishing practices and human rights abuses in the industry., * Legal filings by the Environmental Justice Foundation against major squid fishing companies.
C

De-escalation

13%

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** The investigation's findings are leaked to international media outlets and trigger condemnation from various countries, including those with strong environmental regulations. This leads to increased scrutiny on global squid fishing practices and potential sanctions against major players in the industry. The Environmental Justice Foundation launches a legal challenge against several companies, demanding accountability for human rights violations and environmental damage. * Global media coverage of the investigation's findings with significant attention from international news outlets. * Public statements by prominent figures condemning illegal fishing practices and human rights abuses in the industry. * Legal filings by the Environmental Justice Foundation against major squid fishing companies.

Индикаторы подтверждения: **, * Global media coverage of the investigation's findings with significant attention from international news outlets., * Public statements by prominent figures condemning illegal fishing practices and human rights abuses in the industry., * Legal filings by the Environmental Justice Foundation against major squid fishing companies.

Первичный источник: France24

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