Предупреждения о наводнениях на сельскохозяйственных угодьях Южного Китая повышают риски для урожая риса

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Heavy rains in southern China lead to widespread flooding. Government agencies issue flood warnings and activate disaster response protocols. Rice farmers face significant crop losses due to inundation, resulting in price volatility in the global rice market. This triggers a decrease in investor confidence in the agricultural sector, impacting stock prices of companies involved in agriculture and related industries. * National Meteorological Administration issues severe flood warnings for southern China within 2 days. * Major news outlets report widespread flooding in key rice-producing regions within 3 days. * Global rice price index shows a significant increase within 5 days. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The heavy rains cause localized flooding, but are no

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Heavy rains in southern China lead to widespread flooding. Government agencies issue flood warnings and activate disaster response protocols. Rice farmers face significant crop losses due to inundation, resulting in price volatility in the global rice market. This triggers a decrease in investor confidence in the agricultural sector, impacting stock prices of companies involved in agriculture and related industries. * National Meteorological Administration issues severe flood warnings for southern China within 2 days. * Major news outlets report widespread flooding in key rice-producing regions within 3 days. * Global rice price index shows a significant increase within 5 days. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The heavy rains cause localized flooding, but are no

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Heavy rains in southern China lead to widespread flooding. Government agencies issue flood warnings and activate disaster response protocols. Rice farmers face significant crop losses due to inundation, resulting in price volatility in the global rice market. This triggers a decrease in investor confidence in the agricultural sector, impacting stock prices of companies involved in agriculture and related industries. * National Meteorological Administration issues severe flood warnings for southern China within 2 days. * Major news outlets report widespread flooding in key rice-producing regions within 3 days. * Global rice price index shows a significant increase within 5 days. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The heavy rains cause localized flooding, but are no