В нескольких областях Украины зарегистрированы новые отключения электроэнергии после российских атак

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Russian attacks escalate in frequency and severity across Ukraine, targeting critical infrastructure like power grids and communication networks. This leads to increased energy demand and potential shortages, further straining Ukrainian resources. International pressure on Russia increases, leading to diplomatic tensions and potential sanctions escalation. * Increase in reports of targeted Russian attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure (e.g., military facilities, energy plants). * Significant rise in international condemnation and sanctions against Russia. * Escalation in the number of refugees fleeing Ukraine. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** Ukrainian authorities manage power outages and implement temporary energy conservation measures, while international aid conti

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Russian attacks escalate in frequency and severity across Ukraine, targeting critical infrastructure like power grids and communication networks. This leads to increased energy demand and potential shortages, further straining Ukrainian resources. International pressure on Russia increases, leading to diplomatic tensions and potential sanctions escalation. * Increase in reports of targeted Russian attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure (e.g., military facilities, energy plants). * Significant rise in international condemnation and sanctions against Russia. * Escalation in the number of refugees fleeing Ukraine. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** Ukrainian authorities manage power outages and implement temporary energy conservation measures, while international aid conti

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Russian attacks escalate in frequency and severity across Ukraine, targeting critical infrastructure like power grids and communication networks. This leads to increased energy demand and potential shortages, further straining Ukrainian resources. International pressure on Russia increases, leading to diplomatic tensions and potential sanctions escalation. * Increase in reports of targeted Russian attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure (e.g., military facilities, energy plants). * Significant rise in international condemnation and sanctions against Russia. * Escalation in the number of refugees fleeing Ukraine. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** Ukrainian authorities manage power outages and implement temporary energy conservation measures, while international aid conti