Председатель Китая Си посетил Северную Корею, чтобы обсудить ядерную программу

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Xi's visit to Pyongyang triggers heightened tensions between China and the US. North Korea conducts further missile tests, escalating rhetoric against the US and South Korea. Chinese military exercises near the Korean peninsula are conducted as a show of force, increasing regional instability. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** Xi and Kim Jong Un meet, discussing North Korea’s nuclear program in a non-confrontational manner. China continues its economic aid to North Korea while urging for denuclearization through diplomatic channels. The US maintains sanctions on North Korea and engages in dial

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Xi's visit to Pyongyang triggers heightened tensions between China and the US. North Korea conducts further missile tests, escalating rhetoric against the US and South Korea. Chinese military exercises near the Korean peninsula are conducted as a show of force, increasing regional instability. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** Xi and Kim Jong Un meet, discussing North Korea’s nuclear program in a non-confrontational manner. China continues its economic aid to North Korea while urging for denuclearization through diplomatic channels. The US maintains sanctions on North Korea and engages in dial

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Xi's visit to Pyongyang triggers heightened tensions between China and the US. North Korea conducts further missile tests, escalating rhetoric against the US and South Korea. Chinese military exercises near the Korean peninsula are conducted as a show of force, increasing regional instability. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** Xi and Kim Jong Un meet, discussing North Korea’s nuclear program in a non-confrontational manner. China continues its economic aid to North Korea while urging for denuclearization through diplomatic channels. The US maintains sanctions on North Korea and engages in dial