Два человека погибли и 15 получили ранения в результате удара российского беспилотника по жилому району Запорожья

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Russia escalates its military actions in Ukraine, targeting civilian infrastructure and increasing rhetoric against Western nations. Ukrainian forces retaliate with increased strikes on Russian targets. This leads to a heightened risk of escalation into wider conflict involving NATO members, potentially triggering sanctions from the EU and US. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The conflict in Ukraine continues, with both sides engaging in limited military action and focusing on defense strategies. Diplomatic efforts continue, including ne

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Russia escalates its military actions in Ukraine, targeting civilian infrastructure and increasing rhetoric against Western nations. Ukrainian forces retaliate with increased strikes on Russian targets. This leads to a heightened risk of escalation into wider conflict involving NATO members, potentially triggering sanctions from the EU and US. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The conflict in Ukraine continues, with both sides engaging in limited military action and focusing on defense strategies. Diplomatic efforts continue, including ne

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Russia escalates its military actions in Ukraine, targeting civilian infrastructure and increasing rhetoric against Western nations. Ukrainian forces retaliate with increased strikes on Russian targets. This leads to a heightened risk of escalation into wider conflict involving NATO members, potentially triggering sanctions from the EU and US. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The conflict in Ukraine continues, with both sides engaging in limited military action and focusing on defense strategies. Diplomatic efforts continue, including ne