Израиль прекращает удары по Ирану по просьбе Трампа и продолжает атаки на Ливан — ТВ

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Trump's request for Israel to halt strikes on Iran leads to increased tensions between Israel and Iran. Israel continues targeted attacks on Lebanon, potentially escalating into a broader conflict with Hezbollah. This could trigger retaliatory strikes from Iran or its allies, possibly involving proxy groups in the region. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The current situation remains largely unchanged, with limited escalation or de-escalation efforts. Israel continues its military operations in Lebanon, while Iran maintains a cautious stance on escalating tensions. This c

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Trump's request for Israel to halt strikes on Iran leads to increased tensions between Israel and Iran. Israel continues targeted attacks on Lebanon, potentially escalating into a broader conflict with Hezbollah. This could trigger retaliatory strikes from Iran or its allies, possibly involving proxy groups in the region. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The current situation remains largely unchanged, with limited escalation or de-escalation efforts. Israel continues its military operations in Lebanon, while Iran maintains a cautious stance on escalating tensions. This c

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Trump's request for Israel to halt strikes on Iran leads to increased tensions between Israel and Iran. Israel continues targeted attacks on Lebanon, potentially escalating into a broader conflict with Hezbollah. This could trigger retaliatory strikes from Iran or its allies, possibly involving proxy groups in the region. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The current situation remains largely unchanged, with limited escalation or de-escalation efforts. Israel continues its military operations in Lebanon, while Iran maintains a cautious stance on escalating tensions. This c