Мемориал Трампа об искусственном интеллекте направлен на то, чтобы избежать повторения антропного фиаско

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Trump's memo sparks immediate pushback from Congress and AI industry leaders, leading to a series of public confrontations. This fuels an escalation of tensions between the Pentagon and major tech companies like Anthropic and Google. The US military begins testing new AI-powered weapons systems with increased autonomy, potentially exceeding existing ethical guidelines. * Public statements from Congress questioning the memo's content and potential for misuse. * Major tech companies issuing public statements expressing concerns about the memo's implications for their business models. * The Pentagon announcing a new set of AI-focused military exercises with increased emphasis on autonomous weapon systems. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The memo is largely ignored,

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Trump's memo sparks immediate pushback from Congress and AI industry leaders, leading to a series of public confrontations. This fuels an escalation of tensions between the Pentagon and major tech companies like Anthropic and Google. The US military begins testing new AI-powered weapons systems with increased autonomy, potentially exceeding existing ethical guidelines. * Public statements from Congress questioning the memo's content and potential for misuse. * Major tech companies issuing public statements expressing concerns about the memo's implications for their business models. * The Pentagon announcing a new set of AI-focused military exercises with increased emphasis on autonomous weapon systems. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The memo is largely ignored,

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Trump's memo sparks immediate pushback from Congress and AI industry leaders, leading to a series of public confrontations. This fuels an escalation of tensions between the Pentagon and major tech companies like Anthropic and Google. The US military begins testing new AI-powered weapons systems with increased autonomy, potentially exceeding existing ethical guidelines. * Public statements from Congress questioning the memo's content and potential for misuse. * Major tech companies issuing public statements expressing concerns about the memo's implications for their business models. * The Pentagon announcing a new set of AI-focused military exercises with increased emphasis on autonomous weapon systems. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The memo is largely ignored,