Более 60% украинцев поддерживают прекращение огня, когда войска ЕС находятся на линии фронта, показало исследование

## Scenario Forecasts **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** * **Chain:** Russia interprets Ukrainian support for EU troops as a direct threat and escalates its offensive in an attempt to force a complete withdrawal of these forces from Ukraine's borders. This escalation could involve targeted attacks on key infrastructure, including energy grids and military facilities near the front line. * **Confirmation indicators:** A significant increase in Russian military activity along the Ukrainian border, particularly in areas with high civilian population density. Increased reports of increased Russian missile strikes targeting Ukrainian cities. * **Time horizon:** 10-20 days **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** * **Chain:** The EU and Ukraine reach a temporary agreement on the deployment of a limited number of troops to support Ukraine's defense, but tensions remain high. This could lead to fur

## Scenario Forecasts **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** * **Chain:** Russia interprets Ukrainian support for EU troops as a direct threat and escalates its offensive in an attempt to force a complete withdrawal of these forces from Ukraine's borders. This escalation could involve targeted attacks on key infrastructure, including energy grids and military facilities near the front line. * **Confirmation indicators:** A significant increase in Russian military activity along the Ukrainian border, particularly in areas with high civilian population density. Increased reports of increased Russian missile strikes targeting Ukrainian cities. * **Time horizon:** 10-20 days **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** * **Chain:** The EU and Ukraine reach a temporary agreement on the deployment of a limited number of troops to support Ukraine's defense, but tensions remain high. This could lead to fur

## Scenario Forecasts **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** * **Chain:** Russia interprets Ukrainian support for EU troops as a direct threat and escalates its offensive in an attempt to force a complete withdrawal of these forces from Ukraine's borders. This escalation could involve targeted attacks on key infrastructure, including energy grids and military facilities near the front line. * **Confirmation indicators:** A significant increase in Russian military activity along the Ukrainian border, particularly in areas with high civilian population density. Increased reports of increased Russian missile strikes targeting Ukrainian cities. * **Time horizon:** 10-20 days **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** * **Chain:** The EU and Ukraine reach a temporary agreement on the deployment of a limited number of troops to support Ukraine's defense, but tensions remain high. This could lead to fur