Выборы в Армении во многом воспринимаются как «национальный референдум о направлении развития страны»

Here are three scenarios based on cascade chain analysis data: **Scenario A (Escalation) — 50%** What: Russia responds to perceived Armenian pro-Western shift with increased military presence in the region. In how many days: Within 7-10 days, Russian naval vessels will arrive at the Georgian port of Poti. What effect: This will heighten tensions between Armenia and Russia, potentially leading to a wider conflict in the Caucasus. 1. Increased Russian troop deployments along the Armenian border. 2. Public statements from Russian officials condemning Armenia's pro-Western stance. 3. A surge in online propaganda supporting Russian intervention in Armenia. **Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38%** The Armenian government maintains its pro-Western stance, while Russia continues to exert pressure through diplomatic channels. In how many days

Here are three scenarios based on cascade chain analysis data: **Scenario A (Escalation) — 50%** What: Russia responds to perceived Armenian pro-Western shift with increased military presence in the region. In how many days: Within 7-10 days, Russian naval vessels will arrive at the Georgian port of Poti. What effect: This will heighten tensions between Armenia and Russia, potentially leading to a wider conflict in the Caucasus. 1. Increased Russian troop deployments along the Armenian border. 2. Public statements from Russian officials condemning Armenia's pro-Western stance. 3. A surge in online propaganda supporting Russian intervention in Armenia. **Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38%** The Armenian government maintains its pro-Western stance, while Russia continues to exert pressure through diplomatic channels. In how many days

Here are three scenarios based on cascade chain analysis data: **Scenario A (Escalation) — 50%** What: Russia responds to perceived Armenian pro-Western shift with increased military presence in the region. In how many days: Within 7-10 days, Russian naval vessels will arrive at the Georgian port of Poti. What effect: This will heighten tensions between Armenia and Russia, potentially leading to a wider conflict in the Caucasus. 1. Increased Russian troop deployments along the Armenian border. 2. Public statements from Russian officials condemning Armenia's pro-Western stance. 3. A surge in online propaganda supporting Russian intervention in Armenia. **Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38%** The Armenian government maintains its pro-Western stance, while Russia continues to exert pressure through diplomatic channels. In how many days