Ядерный пакт Макрона распространяется на всю Скандинавию по мере нарастания глобальных сил

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** France's extended nuclear deterrence initiative expands to include Norway and Sweden in the coming weeks. Norway and Sweden begin deploying their own tactical nuclear weapons under French guidance, followed by joint military exercises with France in the Baltic Sea region. This escalates tensions between Russia and NATO members. * **Russia's response:** Moscow publicly condemns the expansion of France's nuclear deterrence initiative and threatens military action against Scandinavian countries. * **NATO activation:** NATO holds an emergency meeting, with a clear focus on increasing military presence in Northern Europe. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** Discussions between France and Norway regarding the extended nuclear deterrence initiative continue but remain at a dipl

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** France's extended nuclear deterrence initiative expands to include Norway and Sweden in the coming weeks. Norway and Sweden begin deploying their own tactical nuclear weapons under French guidance, followed by joint military exercises with France in the Baltic Sea region. This escalates tensions between Russia and NATO members. * **Russia's response:** Moscow publicly condemns the expansion of France's nuclear deterrence initiative and threatens military action against Scandinavian countries. * **NATO activation:** NATO holds an emergency meeting, with a clear focus on increasing military presence in Northern Europe. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** Discussions between France and Norway regarding the extended nuclear deterrence initiative continue but remain at a dipl

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** France's extended nuclear deterrence initiative expands to include Norway and Sweden in the coming weeks. Norway and Sweden begin deploying their own tactical nuclear weapons under French guidance, followed by joint military exercises with France in the Baltic Sea region. This escalates tensions between Russia and NATO members. * **Russia's response:** Moscow publicly condemns the expansion of France's nuclear deterrence initiative and threatens military action against Scandinavian countries. * **NATO activation:** NATO holds an emergency meeting, with a clear focus on increasing military presence in Northern Europe. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** Discussions between France and Norway regarding the extended nuclear deterrence initiative continue but remain at a dipl