Россия атаковала Украину 155 дронами, ПВО уничтожила 124, зафиксированы попадания

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Russia escalates drone attacks in response to Ukraine's air defence success, potentially targeting critical infrastructure like energy grids or military facilities. Increased frequency and sophistication of strikes could lead to a wider escalation, including potential deployment of more advanced weaponry by both sides. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The current level of tension remains, with both sides maintaining a cautious approach to avoid further escalation. However, continued drone attacks could lead to heightened tensions and diplomatic pressure for de-escalation efforts.

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Russia escalates drone attacks in response to Ukraine's air defence success, potentially targeting critical infrastructure like energy grids or military facilities. Increased frequency and sophistication of strikes could lead to a wider escalation, including potential deployment of more advanced weaponry by both sides. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The current level of tension remains, with both sides maintaining a cautious approach to avoid further escalation. However, continued drone attacks could lead to heightened tensions and diplomatic pressure for de-escalation efforts.

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Russia escalates drone attacks in response to Ukraine's air defence success, potentially targeting critical infrastructure like energy grids or military facilities. Increased frequency and sophistication of strikes could lead to a wider escalation, including potential deployment of more advanced weaponry by both sides. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The current level of tension remains, with both sides maintaining a cautious approach to avoid further escalation. However, continued drone attacks could lead to heightened tensions and diplomatic pressure for de-escalation efforts.