Иран заявляет о прекращении атак на Израиль после вспышки

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Iran's declaration ends with increased military activity in the region, including heightened drone patrols and missile tests near Israel's borders. This escalates tensions, leading to a series of retaliatory actions by Israel, potentially involving air strikes on Iranian targets. The conflict could spill over into regional alliances, prompting international intervention from countries like Russia or China. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The declaration of an end to attacks on Israel is met with a temporary pause in hostilities, followed by continued diplomatic efforts aimed at de-escalating tensions. Both sides engage i

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Iran's declaration ends with increased military activity in the region, including heightened drone patrols and missile tests near Israel's borders. This escalates tensions, leading to a series of retaliatory actions by Israel, potentially involving air strikes on Iranian targets. The conflict could spill over into regional alliances, prompting international intervention from countries like Russia or China. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The declaration of an end to attacks on Israel is met with a temporary pause in hostilities, followed by continued diplomatic efforts aimed at de-escalating tensions. Both sides engage i

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Iran's declaration ends with increased military activity in the region, including heightened drone patrols and missile tests near Israel's borders. This escalates tensions, leading to a series of retaliatory actions by Israel, potentially involving air strikes on Iranian targets. The conflict could spill over into regional alliances, prompting international intervention from countries like Russia or China. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The declaration of an end to attacks on Israel is met with a temporary pause in hostilities, followed by continued diplomatic efforts aimed at de-escalating tensions. Both sides engage i