Законодатель-республиканец призывает провести новое расследование атаки израильского авианосца «Либерти»
Законодатель-республиканец призывает к новому расследованию нападения Израиля на авианосец «Либерти» Конгрессмен-республиканец Томас Мэсси использовал 59-ю годовщину нападения Израиля на авианосец «Либерти», чтобы призвать к новому расследованию смертоносного нападения 1967 года. Израильские силы атаковали разведывательный корабль США во время Шестидневной войны, убив 34 американцев и ранив 171 человека. Позже Израиль извинился, заявив, что принял это судно за египетский корабль. Американские моряки на корабле заявили, что Израиль намеренно атаковал корабль. Мэсси поставил под сомнение официальную версию и призвал Конгресс принять резолюцию, отдающую дань уважения выжившим и возобновившую расследование нападения.
Сценарии цепочки
Escalation
## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** * **Chain:** Massie's call for a new probe leads to increased pressure on US-Israel relations. This could trigger a series of diplomatic confrontations, including public statements from both sides and potential sanctions or trade restrictions. Israel may retaliate by increasing military presence in the region or engaging in provocative actions against US interests in the Middle East. * **Confirmation Indicators:** US State Department issues a formal statement criticizing Israel's handling of the Massie call and escalating rhetoric, followed by an official response from Israeli government officials. * **Time Horizon:** 1-2 weeks **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** * **Chain:** The US administration remains cautious about engaging in a new probe into the attack, opting for diplomacy and maintaining dialogue with Israel. Public press
Status Quo
## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** * **Chain:** Massie's call for a new probe leads to increased pressure on US-Israel relations. This could trigger a series of diplomatic confrontations, including public statements from both sides and potential sanctions or trade restrictions. Israel may retaliate by increasing military presence in the region or engaging in provocative actions against US interests in the Middle East. * **Confirmation Indicators:** US State Department issues a formal statement criticizing Israel's handling of the Massie call and escalating rhetoric, followed by an official response from Israeli government officials. * **Time Horizon:** 1-2 weeks **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** * **Chain:** The US administration remains cautious about engaging in a new probe into the attack, opting for diplomacy and maintaining dialogue with Israel. Public press
De-escalation
## Scenario Analysis **Scenario A (Escalation): 50%** * **Chain:** Massie's call for a new probe leads to increased pressure on US-Israel relations. This could trigger a series of diplomatic confrontations, including public statements from both sides and potential sanctions or trade restrictions. Israel may retaliate by increasing military presence in the region or engaging in provocative actions against US interests in the Middle East. * **Confirmation Indicators:** US State Department issues a formal statement criticizing Israel's handling of the Massie call and escalating rhetoric, followed by an official response from Israeli government officials. * **Time Horizon:** 1-2 weeks **Scenario B (Status Quo): 38%** * **Chain:** The US administration remains cautious about engaging in a new probe into the attack, opting for diplomacy and maintaining dialogue with Israel. Public press
Первичный источник: Middle East Eye
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