Иран заявляет о прекращении атак на Израиль после вспышки

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Iran's declaration of ending attacks on Israel triggers increased tensions in the region. Israel retaliates with air strikes targeting Iranian military facilities, escalating into a larger-scale conflict. This could lead to direct clashes between Israeli and Iranian forces, potentially involving regional proxy groups like Hezbollah or Hamas. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The declaration of ending attacks serves as a temporary ceasefire. Both sides maintain heightened tensions and engage in diplomatic efforts to de-escalate the situation. Israel continues its military prese

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Iran's declaration of ending attacks on Israel triggers increased tensions in the region. Israel retaliates with air strikes targeting Iranian military facilities, escalating into a larger-scale conflict. This could lead to direct clashes between Israeli and Iranian forces, potentially involving regional proxy groups like Hezbollah or Hamas. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The declaration of ending attacks serves as a temporary ceasefire. Both sides maintain heightened tensions and engage in diplomatic efforts to de-escalate the situation. Israel continues its military prese

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Iran's declaration of ending attacks on Israel triggers increased tensions in the region. Israel retaliates with air strikes targeting Iranian military facilities, escalating into a larger-scale conflict. This could lead to direct clashes between Israeli and Iranian forces, potentially involving regional proxy groups like Hezbollah or Hamas. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The declaration of ending attacks serves as a temporary ceasefire. Both sides maintain heightened tensions and engage in diplomatic efforts to de-escalate the situation. Israel continues its military prese