«Дома превратились в печи»: миллионы йеменцев изнемогают от жары и отключений электроэнергии

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Increased tensions in Yemen due to power outages and humanitarian crisis lead to renewed internal conflict. Protests turn violent as citizens demand action from authorities, escalating into armed clashes between government forces and Houthi rebels. **Effect:** Increased risk of further displacement and humanitarian crisis within Yemen. * Reports of increased military activity in the country's north and south. * Significant spike in anti-government protests across major cities. * International condemnation of the violence and calls for intervention by UN Security Council. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Baseline:** The current situation in Yemen remains largely unchanged, with power outages continuing to impact the population and humanitarian aid efforts struggling to reach aff

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Increased tensions in Yemen due to power outages and humanitarian crisis lead to renewed internal conflict. Protests turn violent as citizens demand action from authorities, escalating into armed clashes between government forces and Houthi rebels. **Effect:** Increased risk of further displacement and humanitarian crisis within Yemen. * Reports of increased military activity in the country's north and south. * Significant spike in anti-government protests across major cities. * International condemnation of the violence and calls for intervention by UN Security Council. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Baseline:** The current situation in Yemen remains largely unchanged, with power outages continuing to impact the population and humanitarian aid efforts struggling to reach aff

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Increased tensions in Yemen due to power outages and humanitarian crisis lead to renewed internal conflict. Protests turn violent as citizens demand action from authorities, escalating into armed clashes between government forces and Houthi rebels. **Effect:** Increased risk of further displacement and humanitarian crisis within Yemen. * Reports of increased military activity in the country's north and south. * Significant spike in anti-government protests across major cities. * International condemnation of the violence and calls for intervention by UN Security Council. ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Baseline:** The current situation in Yemen remains largely unchanged, with power outages continuing to impact the population and humanitarian aid efforts struggling to reach aff