Контейнерные перевозки РЖД выросли на 1,9% за 5 месяцев 2026 года — компания

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Increased geopolitical tensions between Russia and Western nations lead to stricter sanctions on Russian Railways' international shipping operations. This results in reduced container traffic volume, with a potential for further escalation of trade restrictions. **Confirmation indicators:** Significant press coverage highlighting increased diplomatic tension and new sanctions targeting Russian entities involved in transportation. Time horizon: 14-28 days ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The current economic climate remains relatively stable, with limited impact on container shipments by Russian Railways. The company continues to adapt its operations to changing market conditions, maintaining a steady flow of cargo transport within Russia and internationally. **Confirmation indicators:** Continued growth in the global economy an

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Increased geopolitical tensions between Russia and Western nations lead to stricter sanctions on Russian Railways' international shipping operations. This results in reduced container traffic volume, with a potential for further escalation of trade restrictions. **Confirmation indicators:** Significant press coverage highlighting increased diplomatic tension and new sanctions targeting Russian entities involved in transportation. Time horizon: 14-28 days ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The current economic climate remains relatively stable, with limited impact on container shipments by Russian Railways. The company continues to adapt its operations to changing market conditions, maintaining a steady flow of cargo transport within Russia and internationally. **Confirmation indicators:** Continued growth in the global economy an

## Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% **Chain:** Increased geopolitical tensions between Russia and Western nations lead to stricter sanctions on Russian Railways' international shipping operations. This results in reduced container traffic volume, with a potential for further escalation of trade restrictions. **Confirmation indicators:** Significant press coverage highlighting increased diplomatic tension and new sanctions targeting Russian entities involved in transportation. Time horizon: 14-28 days ## Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% **Chain:** The current economic climate remains relatively stable, with limited impact on container shipments by Russian Railways. The company continues to adapt its operations to changing market conditions, maintaining a steady flow of cargo transport within Russia and internationally. **Confirmation indicators:** Continued growth in the global economy an