Geopolitical··severity 9
US Blocks Oil Sales in New Test of Ceasefire
The US carried out a new round of strikes in Iran targeting more than 80 sites and revoked a waiver allowing new sales of Iranian oil, further imperiling a peace agreement after a series of attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz. (Source: Bloomberg)
Сценарии цепочки
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
65%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Первичный источник: Bloomberg Markets
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