Geopolitical··severity 8
Iran warns US, Israel against strikes during supreme leader farewell ceremonies
Farewell ceremonies for Ali Khamenei will begin in Tehran on July 3
Сценарии цепочки
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
45%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Первичный источник: TASS English
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