Украинская армия отступает из населенного пункта Комар на западе Донецкой области.
Украинские военные пытались перебросить в этот населенный пункт резервы, но большая их часть была уничтожена авиаударами России, добавил источник.
Сценарии цепочки
Escalation
Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% In the next 7-10 days, Russia increases air strikes on Ukrainian military positions in the Komar community, leading to a significant escalation of hostilities in the Donetsk region. Confirmation indicators: 1. Increase in Russian air raid warnings within 3 miles of Komar community 2. Ukraine's response with increased artillery fire towards Russian positions 3. Confirmation from Ukrainian officials that reserves were destroyed Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% In the next 10-14 days, a ceasefire is negotiated between Russia and Ukraine, allowing for the withdrawal of remaining Ukrainian forces from Komar community. Confirmation indicators: 1. Announcement from Ukrainian President's office about ceasefire talks 2. Confirmation from Russian officials that they are committed to a peaceful resolution 3. Observation of reduced military activity in the region
Status Quo
Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% In the next 7-10 days, Russia increases air strikes on Ukrainian military positions in the Komar community, leading to a significant escalation of hostilities in the Donetsk region. Confirmation indicators: 1. Increase in Russian air raid warnings within 3 miles of Komar community 2. Ukraine's response with increased artillery fire towards Russian positions 3. Confirmation from Ukrainian officials that reserves were destroyed Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% In the next 10-14 days, a ceasefire is negotiated between Russia and Ukraine, allowing for the withdrawal of remaining Ukrainian forces from Komar community. Confirmation indicators: 1. Announcement from Ukrainian President's office about ceasefire talks 2. Confirmation from Russian officials that they are committed to a peaceful resolution 3. Observation of reduced military activity in the region
De-escalation
Scenario A (Escalation) — 50% In the next 7-10 days, Russia increases air strikes on Ukrainian military positions in the Komar community, leading to a significant escalation of hostilities in the Donetsk region. Confirmation indicators: 1. Increase in Russian air raid warnings within 3 miles of Komar community 2. Ukraine's response with increased artillery fire towards Russian positions 3. Confirmation from Ukrainian officials that reserves were destroyed Scenario B (Status Quo) — 38% In the next 10-14 days, a ceasefire is negotiated between Russia and Ukraine, allowing for the withdrawal of remaining Ukrainian forces from Komar community. Confirmation indicators: 1. Announcement from Ukrainian President's office about ceasefire talks 2. Confirmation from Russian officials that they are committed to a peaceful resolution 3. Observation of reduced military activity in the region
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