Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

United States

Promo Image: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a Mexican Border Defense Medal presentation in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C., on Dec. 15, 2025. (ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images)

December 21, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Kaynes shares plunge 43% from October peak. Is a tactical rebound on the cards or more pain ahead?

Kaynes has plunged 43.5% from its October peak, with Friday’s 12.5% drop marking the steepest single-day decline. Momentum indicators remain bearish, signaling a risk of further slide toward the year’s low of Rs 3,825. However, being nearly 26% below its 200-day SMA suggests potential mean-reversion, with a contrarian recovery target at Rs 4,541 and downside below Rs 4,300.

December 7, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Kaynes shares plunge 43% from October peak. Is a tactical rebound on the cards or more pain ahead?

Kaynes has plunged 43.5% from its October peak, with Friday’s 12.5% drop marking the steepest single-day decline. Momentum indicators remain bearish, signaling a risk of further slide toward the year’s low of Rs 3,825. However, being nearly 26% below its 200-day SMA suggests potential mean-reversion, with a contrarian recovery target at Rs 4,541 and downside below Rs 4,300.

December 7, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Warren Buffett is buying, Michael Burry is shorting: The AI trade splitting Wall Street

Warren Buffett and Michael Burry are taking opposing stances on the AI boom, highlighting investor uncertainty. Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has added a major stake in Alphabet, signaling confidence in the AI-driven growth, while Burry shorts Palantir and Nvidia, criticizing Big Tech accounting practices. Their contrasting positions coincide with transitions in their careers and growing debate over whether AI hype is justified or a bubble.

December 7, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Warren Buffett is buying, Michael Burry is shorting: The AI trade splitting Wall Street

Warren Buffett and Michael Burry are taking opposing stances on the AI boom, highlighting investor uncertainty. Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has added a major stake in Alphabet, signaling confidence in the AI-driven growth, while Burry shorts Palantir and Nvidia, criticizing Big Tech accounting practices. Their contrasting positions coincide with transitions in their careers and growing debate over whether AI hype is justified or a bubble.

December 7, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Cover Story newsletter: How we chose the cover image

The thinking behind our design about Russia’s hybrid war

October 3, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Cover Story newsletter: How we chose the cover image

The thinking behind our design about Russia’s hybrid war

October 3, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

IDF issues evacuation order for Tehran ahead of strikes

June 16, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

IDF issues evacuation order for Tehran ahead of strikes

June 16, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Ukrainian drone attack on Moscow forces airport closure, Russia says

June 8, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Ukrainian drone attack on Moscow forces airport closure, Russia says

June 8, 2025

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

IDF arrests PIJ Jenin Battalion commander during West Bank operation

June 7, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Magnitude 6.6 earthquake strikes off coast of northern Chile, GFZ says

June 6, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Magnitude 6.6 earthquake strikes off coast of northern Chile, GFZ says

June 6, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

France backs International Criminal Court after US sanctions judges

June 6, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

France backs International Criminal Court after US sanctions judges

June 6, 2025

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Ten people injured in three-way car accident in Beersheba

June 6, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 8

WHO reports over 8,500 global attacks on health facilities since 2018 — director general

"Attacks on health care have become the 'new normal' of conflict," WHO Director General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said

June 6, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Attacks ahead of meeting between IAEA, Rosatom chiefs 'pressure tool,' ZNPP believes

On June 5, Ukrainian troops launched several drone attacks on the training center of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant

June 6, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Dodon calls on Sandu, Recean not to succumb to Western attempts to drag Moldova into war

The former Moldovan president criticized Dorin Recean's statement in Brussels that Russia allegedly wants to deploy 10,000 of its soldiers in Transnistria

June 6, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Ukraine strikes hotel in ZNPP satellite city of Energodar with drone

Maxim Pukhov stressed that the hotel was non-operational, so no one was injured

June 6, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Ukrainian army retreating from Komar community in western Donetsk region

The Ukrainian military tried to deploy reserves to that community but most of them were destroyed by Russia’s air strikes, the source added

June 6, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Orban sees EU bracing for another decade of countering Russia amid proxy war in Ukraine

Commenting on the Ukraine crisis, the Hungarian PM said that Brussels viewed Ukraine as "the first line of European defense" where pan-European interests were currently being defended

June 6, 2025

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Death toll in Ukrainian attack on Kursk Region's Rylsk climbs to two

Governor Alexander Khinshtein said that an 83-year-old woman died in hospital

June 6, 2025

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