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S5/10Economic
Russia to defend rights of Russian speakers in Ukraine to resolve crisis, says Lavrov
Respect for the Russian language, the great culture created on its basis, and the people who speak it are very important for Russia, the Russian foreign minister said
Source: TASS English
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 7–30 days
B
Status quo
Did not materialiseHorizon: 7–30 days
C
De-escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.