S7/10Natural
Death toll among migrants trying to reach Spain’s Ceuta rises to 34
Juan Jesus Vivas, the mayor-president of Ceuta, said earlier that the city has been flooded by around 60,000 migrants
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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