Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Deniz Undav’s double earns Germany dramatic late win against Côte d’Ivoire

For the first time in more than a decade, Germany will play in the World Cup knockout stages. Their 2-1 victory at the death over Côte d’Ivoire in a lively tie here on Saturday saw to that. Franck Kessié’s 30th-minute goal for Les Éléphants was cancelled out by Deniz Undav’s 68th-minute equaliser and 94th-minute winner for Die Mannschaft. The victory put the four-time world champions on six points, although the youngest team at this tournament gave the Germans a far tougher test than in the 7-1 crunching of Curaçao six days ago. Continue reading...

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Report says UK PM Starmer ready to quit, but source says he is still focused on the job

⁠Britain’s Observer newspaper said ⁠UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer was expected to resign on Monday and set out a timetable for his departure, though a government source ‌said the leader remained focused on getting on with the job of governing. The threat to Starmer’s position, which has been building for months, increased sharply on Friday when his rival Andy Burnham won a ⁠seat in parliament that would allow him to launch a ‌formal leadership challenge. The Observer report said Starmer was...

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Germany reach World Cup knockout stage for first time since 2014

Germany defeated Ivory Coast 2-1

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 7

Country music fan Kane leaves Ella Langley gig early to make curfew

Harry Kane and Dan Burn were among the England players at a concert of US country music star Ella Langley, but had to leave early to make their curfew.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

World Cup 2026: Germany book knockout spot with comeback win over Ivory Coast

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

England close in on T20 semis spot with victory over Scotland

England put on an impressive batting display to defeat Scotland by 38 runs in their ICC Women's T20 World Cup Group Two match at Headingley.

June 20, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

How ‘lying flat’ went from a niche subculture to mainstream phenomenon

In late April, China’s top intelligence agency claimed that foreign forces were weaponising the concept of “lying flat” to dispel young people’s “belief in striving” and undermine social values. Once a niche subculture, “lying flat” has evolved into a mainstream phenomenon over the past five years. “Lying flat” became a buzzword on Chinese social media around 2021 during the coronavirus pandemic. At the time, the phrase was usually applied to people who had completely dropped out of the rat...

June 20, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

Israeli strikes kill six people in Gaza including Al Jazeera cameraman, officials say

The Israeli military accused Ahmed Wishah of being a "Hamas sniper operative", without providing evidence.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Uncertain World Cup for Paraguay’s Almiron, sent off for covering his mouth

Almiron received the first red card for covering his mouth in the World Cup Group D match against Turkiye.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

‘Gary, that’s my job’: Lineker makes ITV presenting cameo on World Cup coverage

Gary Lineker in familiar territory as he kicked off his ITV appearance with a light-hearted cameo as a presenter Gary Lineker was back in familiar territory on Saturday night as he returned to free-to-air TV and even kicked off his ITV appearance with a brief cameo as a presenter. Lineker, who presented BBC’s Match of the Day for 26 years until he departed the corporation last May, was revealed on Friday as a pundit for ITV’s World Cup coverage of Germany against Côte d’Ivoire in Group E. Continue reading...

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Vance departs for Switzerland for talks with Iran — aide

The US vice president said earlier on Saturday that he could travel to Switzerland "within a couple of days"

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Farewell, Scotland: Boston won’t forget the Tartan Army

They arrived with kilts, songs and endless optimism. They leave behind unforgettable memories. For one week, Boston belonged to the Tartan Army. As Scotland's supporters head to Miami, their next World Cup destination, they say goodbye to a city that embraced them from day one.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Iranian delegation arrives in Switzerland

Iranian delegation arrives in Switzerland Iran’s delegation has arrived in Switzerland to take part in the technical talks tomorrow, Iran’s semi-official Tasnim news agency reported. The delegation is led by Iran’s parliamentary speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. Meanwhile, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir are on their way to Switzerland to join the technical-level talks between the US and Iran tomorrow, according to the prime minister's office.

June 20, 2026

Militaryseverity 9

Iran says closed Strait of Hormuz as US deal hits obstacle ahead of Swiss talks

Iran said Saturday it had closed the Strait of Hormuz in response to Israel’s military campaign in Lebanon, while warning that upcoming talks with the United States in Switzerland are unlikely to advance unless the fighting stops. President Donald Trump countered by threatening U.S.-imposed tolls on shipping through the strategic waterway if a final agreement is not reached within 60 days.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Impressive England beat Scotland to close on semis

England's batting sparkles again as the hosts close on a place in the T20 World Cup semi-finals with an 38-run victory over Scotland at Headingley.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Sophia Dunkley smashes England past Scotland as T20 World Cup winning run goes on

Group 2: England, 200-5, bt Scotland, 162-7, by 38 runs Three wins out of three for hosts who top Group 2 England’s grudge match against Scotland at Headingley ended in a convincing win for the World Cup hosts by 38 runs, to ensure they maintained their position atop Group B. England were without their captain Nat Sciver-Brunt, who is missing this match and Wednesday’s game against West Indies after aggravating her existing calf injury. Sciver-Brunt is England’s best batter, and has looked it so far in this World Cup with scores of 46 and 48, so there was some concern as to how the lineup might fare in her absence. Continue reading...

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Bolivia declares state of emergency to clear protest blockades

Bolivia declares state of emergency to clear protest blockades

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Zelensky says Ukraine drones hit oil refinery in Russia’s Tyumen, now have 3,000km range

⁠Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said ⁠on Saturday that Ukrainian drones had struck an oil refinery in Russia’s Tyumen Region in western Siberia, more than 2,000km (1,200 miles) from Ukraine. He also said Ukraine had ‌developed new long-range drones capable of operating over more than 3,000 km. Speaking in his nightly video address, Zelensky offered thanks to the Ukrainian military’s special operations which “have reached Tyumen Region in Russia, including an oil refining facility. More...

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Netherlands defeats Sweden at World Cup

The match ended with a score of 5:1

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Meet Osito, the rescue dog winning hearts at the World Cup

A rescue dog named Osito has become an unlikely World Cup star in Mexico City, attracting crowds, selfies and social media attention wherever he goes.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Scotland expects: What is behind McTominay's understated World Cup?

Some are suggesting Scott McTominay has not had the expected impact for Scotland at the World Cup, but is that fair on the Napoli midfielder?

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

World Cup baby joy for Norway’s Østigård while Doku plans to fly home for birth

Belgian’s decision sparked criticism in some quarters Norwegian defender followed son’s birth on video link Family life is intruding on the World Cup for some players in the shape of new arrivals, with Norway’s Leo Østigård following the birth of his first child by video link and Jérémy Doku contemplating leaving the Belgium squad to be with his wife when she gives birth, potentially ⁠missing a key match. Østigård, who has been receiving parenting tips from his teammate ⁠Erling Haaland, provided long-distance support to his partner, Aurora Eidmann, as she gave birth to their ⁠son on Friday. Continue reading...

June 20, 2026

Economicseverity 7

Fed’s Favorite Gauge Is Seen Showing Faster Inflation

The latest update to the Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation gauge is unlikely to challenge a growing consensus at the US central bank around the need for interest-rate hikes this year.

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

US promises to continue to strike drug cartels in Latin America

White House Spokeswoman Olivia Wales says terrorists of any kind will not be allowed to find safe harbor in the US or attack from abroad

June 20, 2026

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