S6/10Geopolitical
US strikes Bandar Khomeini, destroying a bridge — Fars
According to its information, road services are working on organizing a detour route
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 35% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days