S8/10Geopolitical
Iran says it hit bases in Kuwait, Bahrain
Iran says it hit bases in Kuwait, Bahrain Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said they hit several US bases in Kuwait and Bahrain, and threatened to expand attacks t0 other countries within the region if the US targets Iran again.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 60% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days