S6/10Geopolitical
IN BRIEF: Nabiullina’s statements on key rate, fuel market, attacks on marketplaces
The Bank of Russia will consider the situation regarding the reduction of production capacity when making decisions on the key rate
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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