S6/10Geopolitical
After meeting with Moscow, Washington reiterates wish to mediate Ukraine war
On the sidelines of the ASEAN summit in Manila - the US and Russian foreign ministers met face-to-face. It's been more than a year since Marco Rubio and Sergei Lavrov last spoke. Washington is attempting to revive its mediation efforts to end the war in Ukraine—so far without concrete results.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
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Horizon: 7–30 days
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