S6/10Geopolitical
美伊最新局势 ： 特朗普已通知国会伊朗战事重新爆发 ； 美军连续第三晚空袭伊朗 ， 将于14日20时起对伊实施海上封锁 ； 伊朗 ： 向美军舰艇发射导弹
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.
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