S6/10Geopolitical
Romanian president reports propane tanker attacked off the coast
The tanker Gas Lisbon has been attacked near Romania and its crew rescued. The vessel is on fire and was likely hit by a naval drone.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 42% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days