S6/10Geopolitical
US ‘open’ to negotiations with Iran but Tehran not ‘serious’, Rubio says
US Secretary of State says Iranian control over Strait of Hormuz sets 'dangerous precedent', as attacks continue.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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