S6/10Geopolitical
Socio terrible : Trump ordena cortar todo comercio con España tras el rechazo de Pedro Sánchez a apoyar la guerra contra Irán y elevar el gasto en defensa ; un bloqueo total podría abrir un conflicto con la UE
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Сценарии event-driven intelligence
Horizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.
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