S6/10Geopolitical

Explosions occur on Iranian islands of Qeshm, Kharg — TV

The US Central Command earlier reported that they had begun a series of powerful strikes against Iran

08 Jul 2026, 01:57 UTCSource: TASS EnglishOriginal source

Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).

⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days

Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.

Checking access status…