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French court clears way for far-right leader Le Pen to run in 2027, with ankle bracelet
A French appeal court on Tuesday upheld Marine Le Pen's conviction for embezzling EU funds but shortened her ban on running for public office, in theory giving a path for the far-right leader to run in the 2027 presidential election. The court also sentenced Le Pen to a three-year jail term: two suspended and one with an electronic ankle tag. She is due to give a prime-time TV interview on TF1 at 8pm (1800 GMT), in which she may make an announcement on her political future.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация— 27% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days